Stop the Stop: A Quantitative Case Against 3rd Ave

By Josh.

Ride the L into Manhattan and you have seen it: the train pulls into 3rd Ave, the doors open, almost nobody moves, and everyone on board waits anyway. So we routed every weekday subway trip in New York through the real timetable, twice, to find out what that stop actually costs. Of the 356 stops we tested, 3rd Ave is the one riders would be best off without, and it is not close.

A Note To The Skeptics

To those who think closing a subway stop is absurd: usually, you are right. At our default settings, 298 of the 356 stops would cost riders time if cut, Penn Station by about 22,000 hours a day. But 3rd Ave sits a five-minute walk from both of its neighbors, and our model is conservative where it counts. It treats walking as twice as painful as riding and ignores the new riders faster trips would attract. It also leaves out crowding, delays, buses, big transfer hubs, and the last stop on each line.

Understanding The Data

We start with the MTA's origin-destination estimates: about 4.05 million trips on an average weekday, January to August 2026. Every trip is routed on the MTA's weekday timetable with RAPTOR, a standard transit routing algorithm that finds the fastest way somewhere on the trains that actually run, counting the wait on the platform and up to three transfers. Then we delete a stop and route everything again.

The one thing the timetable cannot tell us is how long a stop takes. The MTA does not publish it, so we assume 50 seconds to brake, open the doors, and speed back up, and we test that assumption later.

Exhibit A: Stopping vs. skipping 3rd Ave

Stops at 3rd AveSkips 3rd AveUnion Sq3rd Ave1st Ave

The chart on the main page runs this test on every stop and plots the net hours saved each weekday. Right of zero, closing the stop helps. Left of zero, it hurts, and that side is compressed so the busiest stops fit.

Now onto the findings.

Who's Actually Getting Off?

Not many. About 177,000 trips pass through 3rd Ave on a typical weekday, while only 11,000 start or end there. At the evening rush it gets starker: between 5 and 6pm, 1 in 19 people on the train at 3rd Ave is getting on or off. Next door, Union Sq moves 13 times as many L riders in the same hour.

Exhibit B: L riders at each stop, 5 to 6pm

Get on or off Ride through
Union Sq
14,357
7,879
3rd Ave
1,093
19,311
1st Ave
4,377
16,718

Seconds Or Minutes?

50 seconds sounds small until it costs you a connection. A rider leaving Bedford Av at 8am for Grand Central reaches Union Sq at 8:06 today, is ready to board at 8:09, and watches the 4 express leave 30 seconds earlier. They take the 6 local and arrive at 8:17. Without 3rd Ave, they make the express and arrive at 8:12:30, 4½ minutes sooner.

Exhibit C: One commute, two timelines

With 3rd Avearrives 8:17
L
6
8:008:068:11
Without 3rd Avearrives 8:12:30
L
4
8:008:05:108:08:30
transfer walk waiting

This is not a fluke. About 25,000 trips a day save more than a minute the same way.

Who Wins?

Mostly Brooklyn, but not only. Trips to and from Bedford Av alone save 259 hours a day, and the gains ripple out through Williamsburg and Bushwick to Myrtle-Wyckoff, then across Manhattan to Grand Central and Times Sq. Add it all up and riders save 2,655 hours on trains every weekday.

Exhibit D: Hours saved per weekday, by station

Bedford Av L259 hrs
1 Av L198 hrs
14 St-Union Sq 4 5 6 L N Q R W125 hrs
Myrtle-Wyckoff Avs L M100 hrs
Lorimer St G L93 hrs
Grand Central-42 St 4 5 6 7 S71 hrs
DeKalb Av L70 hrs
Graham Av L68 hrs
14 St 1 2 3 F L M66 hrs
14 St A C E L65 hrs

What About The Neighbors?

Somebody pays, and it is 3rd Ave's own riders, who would walk to 1st Ave or Union Sq instead. We measured that walk on real streets from the station entrances, starting at every corner closer to 3rd Ave than to any other station, and weighted each corner by the people who live and work there. The average is 173 meters, about 2 minutes.

Exhibit E: Station entrances on 14th St

Union Sq EIrving Pl3rd Ave2nd Ave1st AveAve A14th StUnion Sq3rd Ave1st Ave360 m520 m
StairsElevator3rd Ave has no elevator.

Exhibit F: 3rd Ave's walkshed

Union Sq3rd Ave1st Ave

Put both groups on one chart and the trade is lopsided. About 195,000 trips a day get faster, about 11,000 get a longer walk, and the other 3.8 million do not change at all.

Exhibit G: Change in travel time, per trip

110,945 ↑−5 min−3 min−1 min0+1 min+3 min+5 minfaster on the trainlonger walk

Does It Hold Up?

Walking feels slower than riding, so we count every minute of it twice. That turns the walk into 832 hours a day, against 2,655 hours saved on trains: 1,824 hours back, net, every weekday. We also swept the two assumptions that matter most. Closing 3rd Ave comes out ahead in 39 of 40 combinations, losing only if stops take 20 seconds and a minute of walking counts as three.

Exhibit H: Net hours saved, by stop time and walking penalty

20s30s40s50s60s70s80s90swalk ×3−0.1k+0.4k+0.9k+1.4k+1.9k+2.4k+2.9k+3.4kwalk ×2.5+0.1k+0.6k+1.1k+1.6k+2.1k+2.6k+3.1k+3.6kwalk ×2+0.3k+0.8k+1.3k+1.8k+2.3k+2.8k+3.3k+3.8kwalk ×1.5+0.5k+1.0k+1.5k+2.0k+2.5k+3.0k+3.5k+4.0kwalk ×1+0.7k+1.3k+1.7k+2.2k+2.7k+3.2k+3.7k+4.2k
time each stop costs

Retrospect

Our finding may sound like a commuter's pet peeve, but the numbers back it up. 1,824 hours a day is more than 200 full workdays handed back to riders, every weekday, for the price of a two-minute walk for a few thousand people. If you ride the L, some of that time is yours. .

Sources

Ridership: MTA Subway Origin-Destination Ridership Estimate. Schedule: MTA weekday GTFS. Streets: OpenStreetMap. Entrances and stations: MTA. Residents: 2020 Census. Jobs: Census LEHD. Routing inspired by Anita's NYC Subway Riders. The code, data, and methodology are on GitHub.